Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.166863 0.193389 0.222774 0.257743 0.298235 0.343663 0.398523
2025-07-13 0.129494 0.166164 0.211066 0.270117 0.345804 0.439662 0.565091
2025-07-20 0.108691 0.149618 0.203318 0.278992 0.383037 0.521322 0.719563
2025-07-27 0.094454 0.137684 0.197694 0.287166 0.417444 0.600684 0.878906
2025-08-03 0.082258 0.125995 0.189741 0.289541 0.442257 0.667858 1.027906
2025-08-10 0.071288 0.114129 0.179347 0.286006 0.456631 0.719994 1.159488
2025-08-17 0.061193 0.101995 0.166618 0.276595 0.459799 0.754122 1.265705
2025-08-24 0.056024 0.096939 0.164171 0.282900 0.488270 0.830716 1.448946
2025-08-31 0.050703 0.090850 0.159127 0.283939 0.507564 0.893647 1.615823
2025-09-07 0.046613 0.086318 0.156063 0.287784 0.531752 0.967011 1.808901
2025-09-14 0.041653 0.079569 0.148242 0.281996 0.537629 1.008078 1.947343
2025-09-21 0.037821 0.074424 0.142681 0.279596 0.549230 1.060375 2.112277
2025-09-28 0.034821 0.070588 0.139268 0.281155 0.569106 1.131455 2.324468
2025-10-05 0.033469 0.069853 0.141747 0.294632 0.614185 1.256717 2.661129
2025-10-12 0.031817 0.068288 0.142361 0.304318 0.652546 1.372625 2.992330
2025-10-19 0.030233 0.066659 0.142628 0.313237 0.690223 1.491117 3.343172
2025-10-26 0.028222 0.063861 0.140112 0.315829 0.714454 1.583675 3.648145
2025-11-02 0.025880 0.060045 0.134965 0.311972 0.723857 1.644876 3.889559
2025-11-09 0.023292 0.055365 0.127389 0.301702 0.717404 1.669848 4.049803
2025-11-16 0.022199 0.054036 0.127220 0.308582 0.751663 1.791405 4.454079
2025-11-23 0.020807 0.051826 0.124765 0.309716 0.772271 1.883179 4.796721
2025-11-30 0.019727 0.050252 0.123631 0.313912 0.800791 1.996886 5.207676
2025-12-07 0.018120 0.047173 0.118522 0.307596 0.802215 2.044270 5.454498